PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Tyler Stephenson
Reds · C — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 65% | +1.1pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
|
Recent form
Stephenson .273 over last 14 games (.211 season — hot)
Salary
DK $3,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | +12.0pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 28% | -2.5pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Stephenson .273 over last 14 games (.211 season — hot)
Salary
DK $3,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 25% | -5.0pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 21% | -9.0pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 17% | -12.5pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 15% | -10.3pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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