PLAYER · 2026-09-14

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Reds · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Total Bases 0.5	42%	-5.3pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	40%	-6.9pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	HR 0.5	8%	+0.0pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Recent form Hayes 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 2.3% season — pop quiet) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.