PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Lars Nootbaar
Diamondbacks · DH — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 64% | -0.5pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
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Recent form
Nootbaar .387 over last 14 games (.240 season — hot)
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 41% | -0.8pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 12% | -1.3pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Nootbaar 2 HR in last 14 games (5.3% PA vs 2.1% season — pop spiking)
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