PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Davis Martin

White Sox · SP — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Model Pick	Strikeouts 3.5	70%	+0.5pp	high	PrizePicks 3.5
Manager context Venable averages 82 pitches before pulling Martin (16 starts, 2 over 100); NYY 23.5% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $9,000 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Model Pick	Strikeouts 4.5	70%	-0.3pp	high	PrizePicks 4.5
Manager context Venable averages 82 pitches before pulling Martin (16 starts, 2 over 100); NYY 23.5% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $9,000 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 5.5	55%	+6.8pp	medium	PrizePicks 5.5 Underdog 5.5
Manager context Venable averages 82 pitches before pulling Martin (16 starts, 2 over 100); NYY 23.5% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $9,000 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 6.5	35%	+5.4pp	low	PrizePicks 6.5
Manager context Venable averages 82 pitches before pulling Martin (16 starts, 2 over 100); NYY 23.5% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $9,000 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 7.5	26%	-4.5pp	low	PrizePicks 7.5
Manager context Venable averages 82 pitches before pulling Martin (16 starts, 2 over 100); NYY 23.5% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $9,000 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 8.5	15%	-15.2pp	low	PrizePicks 8.5
Manager context Venable averages 82 pitches before pulling Martin (16 starts, 2 over 100); NYY 23.5% K-rate vs RHP Salary DK $9,000 Play on DraftKings DFS →