PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Ronald Acuña Jr.
Braves · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | -4.3pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
Weiss rests RHB vs LHP in 0% of starts (2nd pct); Jr. started 90% vs LHP last 30 days
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| Hits 1.5 | 26% | -5.7pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
Weiss rests RHB vs LHP in 0% of starts (2nd pct); Jr. started 90% vs LHP last 30 days
Recent form
Jr. .375 over last 14 games (.257 season — hot)
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| HR 0.5 | 14% | -10.1pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Weiss rests RHB vs LHP in 0% of starts (2nd pct); Jr. started 90% vs LHP last 30 days
Recent form
Jr. 4 HR in last 14 games (6.7% PA vs 4.1% season — pop spiking)
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