PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Ryan O'Hearn
Pirates · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 65% | -3.0pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
|
Recent form
O'Hearn .231 over last 14 games (.275 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 59% | -10.8pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 40% | +4.0pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 1.5 | 26% | -3.7pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
O'Hearn .231 over last 14 games (.275 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 21% | -8.8pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 19% | -11.1pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| HR 0.5 | 14% | -10.8pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Total Bases 5.5 | 12% | -17.7pp | low | PrizePicks 5.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Hits 2.5 | 10% | -20.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Recent form
O'Hearn .231 over last 14 games (.275 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $5,100
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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