PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Tristan Gray

Twins · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	64%	+10.8pp	high	Underdog 0.5
Recent form Gray .294 over last 14 games (.254 season — hot) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 1.5	33%	+2.7pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Hits 1.5	24%	-5.8pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5
Recent form Gray .294 over last 14 games (.254 season — hot) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 2.5	19%	-10.7pp	low	PrizePicks 2.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 3.5	17%	-13.5pp	low	PrizePicks 3.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	Total Bases 4.5	13%	-17.5pp	low	PrizePicks 4.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →
	Limited data	HR 0.5	11%	-11.2pp	low	PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Manager context No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection. Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters. Salary DK $2,500 Play on DraftKings DFS →