PLAYER · 2026-06-15
Willi Castro
Rockies · 2B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 64% | -2.9pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
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Recent form
Castro .340 over last 14 games (.281 season — hot)
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 58% | -12.3pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 41% | +5.0pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 25% | -4.7pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Castro .340 over last 14 games (.281 season — hot)
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 21% | -8.6pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 19% | -11.2pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 14% | -9.4pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Castro 3 HR in last 14 games (4.9% PA vs 2.2% season — pop spiking)
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 13% | -16.6pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,900
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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