PLAYER · 2026-07-31
Josh Naylor
Mariners · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 65% | -1.4pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
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Manager context
Wilson rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Naylor started 95% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $3,700
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 40% | -1.1pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Wilson rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Naylor started 95% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $3,700
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 13% | -0.3pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Wilson rests LHB vs RHP in 19% of starts (93rd pct); Naylor started 95% vs RHP last 30 days
Salary
DK $3,700
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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