PLAYER · 2026-09-02

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Red Sox · 2B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Not starting	Hits 0.5	65%	+3.1pp	high	Underdog 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Not starting	Total Bases 0.5	60%	-2.1pp	medium	Underdog 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Not starting	HR 0.5	10%	+5.6pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.