PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Willy Adames
Giants · SS — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 64% | -0.5pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Adames .185 over last 14 games (.229 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 56% | -14.2pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | +12.0pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 27% | -3.0pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 24% | -5.8pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Adames .185 over last 14 games (.229 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 23% | -7.3pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 4.5 | 18% | -12.2pp | low | PrizePicks 4.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -7.3pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Adames 4 HR in last 14 games (6.7% PA vs 3.7% season — pop spiking)
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 2.5 | 10% | -20.3pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Adames .185 over last 14 games (.229 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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