PLAYER · 2026-07-31

Amed Rosario

Yankees · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	63%	+4.6pp	high	Underdog 0.5
Recent form Rosario .154 over last 14 games (.234 season — slumping) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	HR 0.5	16%	-3.3pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Recent form Rosario 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 5.1% season — pop quiet) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.