PLAYER · 2026-09-14

Ryan McMahon

Yankees · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Hits 0.5	63%	+8.4pp	high	Underdog 0.5
Recent form McMahon .162 over last 14 games (.212 season — slumping) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	Total Bases 0.5	53%	-0.5pp	medium	Underdog 0.5
Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.
	Limited data	HR 0.5	14%	+0.0pp	low	Underdog 0.5
Recent form McMahon 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 3.0% season — pop quiet) Quality flags Low expected PA. Bench/utility player — model assumes full role usage. Projection less reliable than for everyday starters.