PLAYER · 2026-06-22

Tim Mayza

Phillies · SP — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Strikeouts 1.5	29%	-5.4pp	low	PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Quality flags Short-outing role. Reliever / opener / swingman — averages under 3 IP per appearance. Model treats them as starters unless gated; predictions historically inflate ~3-5× the realistic K count.