PLAYER · 2026-09-14

Pete Alonso

Orioles · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

Market Hit % Edge Conf Books
Model Pick Hits 0.5 64% +1.0pp high Underdog 0.5
Total Bases 1.5 42% -2.4pp low Underdog 1.5
HR 0.5 16% -11.0pp low Underdog 0.5