PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Pete Alonso

Orioles · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

Market Hit % Edge Conf Books
Hits 0.5 63% -3.8pp high PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Total Bases 0.5 55% -15.4pp medium PrizePicks 0.5
Total Bases 1.5 41% +4.9pp low PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Total Bases 2.5 25% -4.5pp low PrizePicks 2.5
Hits 1.5 24% -6.4pp low PrizePicks 1.5
Total Bases 3.5 23% -7.0pp low PrizePicks 3.5
HR 0.5 16% -11.2pp low PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Total Bases 5.5 13% -17.4pp low PrizePicks 5.5
Hits 2.5 10% -20.3pp low PrizePicks 2.5