PLAYER · 2026-06-16
Matt Olson
Braves · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 66% | -2.8pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | |
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 62% | -8.1pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 50% | +7.3pp | medium | Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 42% | +11.7pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 36% | +5.6pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 35% | +5.4pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -12.6pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Olson 5 HR in last 14 games (8.3% PA vs 6.5% season — pop spiking)
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 6.5 | 13% | -17.1pp | low | PrizePicks 6.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 2.5 | 12% | -17.7pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $5,000
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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