PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Matt Olson
Braves · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 64% | -2.1pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
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Recent form
Olson .164 over last 14 games (.250 season — slumping)
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 42% | +0.3pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 16% | -8.2pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Olson 2 HR in last 14 games (3.4% PA vs 6.1% season — pop quiet)
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