PLAYER · 2026-06-15
Xander Bogaerts
Padres · SS — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 62% | -5.2pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Bogaerts .146 over last 14 games (.227 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $4,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 51% | -18.7pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 24% | -8.5pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 22% | -7.9pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Bogaerts .146 over last 14 games (.227 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $4,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 18% | -12.1pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 14% | -16.1pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 9% | -10.2pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $4,200
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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