PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Xander Bogaerts
Padres · SS — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Bases 1.5 | 30% | -18.0pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
| Hits 1.5 | 22% | -12.7pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Recent form
Bogaerts .265 over last 14 games (.222 season — hot)
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| HR 0.5 | 13% | -3.2pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Bogaerts 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 2.0% season — pop quiet)
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