PLAYER · 2026-09-08
Aaron Judge
Yankees · RF — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 58% | -8.5pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Boone rests RHB vs RHP in 14% of starts (5th pct); Judge started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Judge .189 over last 14 games (.248 season — slumping)
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 33% | -13.5pp | low | Underdog 1.5 | ||
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Manager context
Boone rests RHB vs RHP in 14% of starts (5th pct); Judge started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
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| HR 0.5 | 16% | -14.6pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
Boone rests RHB vs RHP in 14% of starts (5th pct); Judge started 100% vs RHP last 30 days
Recent form
Judge 1 HR in last 14 games (1.6% PA vs 6.6% season — pop quiet)
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