PLAYER · 2026-06-16

Willson Contreras

Red Sox · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

Market Hit % Edge Conf Books
Model Pick Hits 0.5 64% -2.8pp high PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Total Bases 0.5 57% -13.0pp medium PrizePicks 0.5
Total Bases 1.5 41% +6.3pp low PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5
Hits 1.5 25% -5.1pp low PrizePicks 1.5
Total Bases 2.5 23% -7.0pp low PrizePicks 2.5
Total Bases 3.5 20% -10.3pp low PrizePicks 3.5
HR 0.5 14% -11.4pp low PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5
Total Bases 5.5 12% -17.6pp low PrizePicks 5.5
Hits 2.5 10% -20.3pp low PrizePicks 2.5