PLAYER · 2026-06-15
Nolan Arenado
Diamondbacks · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 61% | -4.2pp | high | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Arenado .137 over last 14 games (.243 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 0.5 | 49% | -21.1pp | medium | PrizePicks 0.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 1.5 | 29% | -4.9pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 Underdog 1.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Hits 1.5 | 21% | -8.9pp | low | PrizePicks 1.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Arenado .137 over last 14 games (.243 season — slumping)
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 2.5 | 19% | -11.0pp | low | PrizePicks 2.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Total Bases 3.5 | 16% | -13.6pp | low | PrizePicks 3.5 | ||
|
Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| HR 0.5 | 11% | -10.7pp | low | PrizePicks 0.5 Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Manager context
No notable signal for this matchup beyond baseline projection.
Salary
DK $3,400
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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