PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Nolan Arenado
Diamondbacks · 3B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits 0.5 | 63% | +4.5pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | ||
| Total Bases 0.5 | 55% | -5.9pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 14% | +3.5pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
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Recent form
Arenado 4 HR in last 14 games (7.1% PA vs 4.7% season — pop spiking)
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