PLAYER · 2026-09-14
Ildemaro Vargas
Diamondbacks · 1B — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Hits 0.5 | 64% | +0.6pp | high | Underdog 0.5 | |
| Total Bases 0.5 | 57% | -6.2pp | medium | Underdog 0.5 | ||
| HR 0.5 | 9% | +4.2pp | low | Underdog 0.5 | ||
|
Recent form
Vargas 0 HR in last 14 games (0.0% PA vs 1.9% season — pop quiet)
|
||||||