PLAYER · 2026-09-26

Kirby Yates

Pirates · SP — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Limited data	Strikeouts 1.5	40%	+6.1pp	low	Underdog 1.5
Recent form Yates 8.1 K/9 in last 14 starts (10.7 season — missing fewer bats) Quality flags Short-outing role. Reliever / opener / swingman — averages under 3 IP per appearance. Model treats them as starters unless gated; predictions historically inflate ~3-5× the realistic K count.