PLAYER · 2026-06-15
Ryne Nelson
Diamondbacks · SP — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.
| Market | Hit % | Edge | Conf | Books | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model Pick | Strikeouts 3.5 | 69% | -0.9pp | high | PrizePicks 3.5 | |
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Manager context
Lovullo averages 79 pitches before pulling Nelson (18 starts, 1 over 100); LAA 25.7% K-rate vs RHP
Salary
DK $6,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
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| Strikeouts 4.5 | 53% | -10.5pp | medium | PrizePicks 4.5 Underdog 4.5 | ||
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Manager context
Lovullo averages 79 pitches before pulling Nelson (18 starts, 1 over 100); LAA 25.7% K-rate vs RHP
Salary
DK $6,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Strikeouts 5 | 33% | -16.8pp | low | PrizePicks 5 | ||
|
Manager context
Lovullo averages 79 pitches before pulling Nelson (18 starts, 1 over 100); LAA 25.7% K-rate vs RHP
Salary
DK $6,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Strikeouts 5.5 | 33% | +3.2pp | low | PrizePicks 5.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Lovullo averages 79 pitches before pulling Nelson (18 starts, 1 over 100); LAA 25.7% K-rate vs RHP
Salary
DK $6,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Strikeouts 6.5 | 23% | -7.2pp | low | PrizePicks 6.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Lovullo averages 79 pitches before pulling Nelson (18 starts, 1 over 100); LAA 25.7% K-rate vs RHP
Salary
DK $6,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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| Strikeouts 7.5 | 13% | -17.5pp | low | PrizePicks 7.5 | ||
|
Manager context
Lovullo averages 79 pitches before pulling Nelson (18 starts, 1 over 100); LAA 25.7% K-rate vs RHP
Salary
DK $6,500
Play on DraftKings DFS →
|
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