PLAYER · 2026-06-22

Brandon Woodruff

Brewers · SP — every model-projected prop for tonight, ranked by calibrated hit probability.

		Market	Hit %	Edge	Conf	Books
	Model Pick	Strikeouts 3.5	70%	+0.5pp	high	PrizePicks 3.5
Manager context Murphy averages 62 pitches before pulling Woodruff (8 starts, 0 over 100); CIN 25.5% K-rate vs RHP Recent form Woodruff 9.8 K/9 in last 14 starts (7.5 season — missing more bats) Salary DK $8,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 4.5	61%	-8.8pp	high	PrizePicks 4.5
Manager context Murphy averages 62 pitches before pulling Woodruff (8 starts, 0 over 100); CIN 25.5% K-rate vs RHP Recent form Woodruff 9.8 K/9 in last 14 starts (7.5 season — missing more bats) Salary DK $8,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 5	45%	-5.3pp	low	PrizePicks 5
Manager context Murphy averages 62 pitches before pulling Woodruff (8 starts, 0 over 100); CIN 25.5% K-rate vs RHP Recent form Woodruff 9.8 K/9 in last 14 starts (7.5 season — missing more bats) Salary DK $8,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 5.5	45%	+7.2pp	low	PrizePicks 5.5 Underdog 5.5
Manager context Murphy averages 62 pitches before pulling Woodruff (8 starts, 0 over 100); CIN 25.5% K-rate vs RHP Recent form Woodruff 9.8 K/9 in last 14 starts (7.5 season — missing more bats) Salary DK $8,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 6.5	30%	-0.4pp	low	PrizePicks 6.5
Manager context Murphy averages 62 pitches before pulling Woodruff (8 starts, 0 over 100); CIN 25.5% K-rate vs RHP Recent form Woodruff 9.8 K/9 in last 14 starts (7.5 season — missing more bats) Salary DK $8,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →
		Strikeouts 7.5	19%	-10.6pp	low	PrizePicks 7.5
Manager context Murphy averages 62 pitches before pulling Woodruff (8 starts, 0 over 100); CIN 25.5% K-rate vs RHP Recent form Woodruff 9.8 K/9 in last 14 starts (7.5 season — missing more bats) Salary DK $8,700 Play on DraftKings DFS →