San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Heliot Ramos LF
- 2 Matt Chapman 3B
- 3 Luis Arraez 2B
- 4 Casey Schmitt DH
- 5 Rafael Devers 1B
- 6 Willy Adames SS
- 7 Jung Hoo Lee CF
- 8 Jerar Encarnacion RF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
- 1 Chandler Simpson LF
- 2 Junior Caminero 3B
- 3 Ryan Vilade 1B
- 4 Yandy Díaz DH
- 5 Ben Williamson 2B
- 6 Jonny DeLuca CF
- 7 Jake Fraley RF
- 8 Nick Fortes C
- 9 Taylor Walls SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TB | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with SF listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.55 vs actual lineup 3.52
- Player execution −3.52 R/G Players fell 3.52 short of the lineup's 3.52 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.55 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramos 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.14 vs actual lineup 3.05
- Player execution −0.05 R/G Players fell 0.05 short of the lineup's 3.05 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Vilade 0-for-3 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 3.1 — actual was 0 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.