San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Luis Arraez 2B
- 3 Matt Chapman 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Casey Schmitt DH
- 6 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 7 Heliot Ramos LF
- 8 Drew Gilbert CF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Luis García 1B
- 3 José Tena DH
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Jacob Young CF
- 6 Daylen Lile LF
- 7 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 8 Jorbit Vivas 3B
- 9 Drew Millas C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| WSH | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with SF listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.74 vs actual lineup 3.76
- Player execution +3.24 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.76 projection by 3.24 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.26 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramos HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.83 vs actual lineup 4.80
- Player execution +1.20 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.80 projection by 1.20 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.17 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Mead 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.7 – 4.8 — actual was 7 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.