New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Francisco Lindor SS
- 2 Bo Bichette 3B
- 3 Jorge Polanco DH
- 4 Luis Robert Jr. CF
- 5 Jared Young LF
- 6 Mark Vientos 1B
- 7 Marcus Semien 2B
- 8 Carson Benge RF
- 9 Francisco Alvarez C
- 1 Willy Adames SS
- 2 Luis Arraez 2B
- 3 Matt Chapman 3B
- 4 Rafael Devers 1B
- 5 Heliot Ramos LF
- 6 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 7 Jerar Encarnacion DH
- 8 Harrison Bader CF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.31 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.58 vs actual lineup 4.26
- Player execution +0.74 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.26 projection by 0.74 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.42 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lindor 0-for-5 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.77 vs actual lineup 4.72
- Player execution −2.72 R/G Players fell 2.72 short of the lineup's 4.72 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.77 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Adames 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.6 – 4.8 — actual was 5 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.