Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Michael Busch 1B
- 2 Alex Bregman DH
- 3 Ian Happ LF
- 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 5 Nico Hoerner 2B
- 6 Dansby Swanson SS
- 7 Michael Conforto RF
- 8 Matt Shaw 3B
- 9 Miguel Amaya C
- 1 Steven Kwan CF
- 2 Chase DeLauter RF
- 3 José Ramírez DH
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 Bo Naylor C
- 6 Daniel Schneemann 3B
- 7 Brayan Rocchio 2B
- 8 Gabriel Arias SS
- 9 CJ Kayfus LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.87 vs actual lineup 4.76
- Player execution −3.76 R/G Players fell 3.76 short of the lineup's 4.76 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.87 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Busch 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.47 vs actual lineup 3.39
- Player execution −3.39 R/G Players fell 3.39 short of the lineup's 3.39 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.47 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
DeLauter 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 3.5 — actual was 1 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.