Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Nathan Lukes LF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Addison Barger RF
- 5 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 6 Daulton Varsho CF
- 7 Ernie Clement 2B
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Brandon Valenzuela C
- 1 Chase Meidroth 2B
- 2 Austin Hays LF
- 3 Munetaka Murakami 1B
- 4 Miguel Vargas 3B
- 5 Edgar Quero C
- 6 Lenyn Sosa DH
- 7 Tanner Murray SS
- 8 Luisangel Acuña CF
- 9 Derek Hill RF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CWS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / D- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.34 vs actual lineup 2.37
- Player execution −2.37 R/G Players fell 2.37 short of the lineup's 2.37 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.34 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lukes 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.15 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.60 vs actual lineup 3.45
- Player execution −0.45 R/G Players fell 0.45 short of the lineup's 3.45 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.60 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Murakami 0-for-3 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 2.3 – 3.6 — actual was 0 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.