Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Taylor Ward DH
- 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 3 Pete Alonso 1B
- 4 Adley Rutschman C
- 5 Dylan Beavers LF
- 6 Coby Mayo 3B
- 7 Leody Taveras CF
- 8 Colton Cowser RF
- 9 Blaze Alexander 2B
- 1 Oneil Cruz CF
- 2 Brandon Lowe 2B
- 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
- 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF
- 5 Marcell Ozuna DH
- 6 Konnor Griffin SS
- 7 Spencer Horwitz 1B
- 8 Nick Gonzales 3B
- 9 Joey Bart C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.16 vs actual lineup 4.21
- Player execution −2.21 R/G Players fell 2.21 short of the lineup's 4.21 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.16 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ward 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.12 vs actual lineup 4.08
- Player execution −1.08 R/G Players fell 1.08 short of the lineup's 4.08 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lowe 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.2 – 4.1 — actual was 2 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.