Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox
Starting pitchers
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| CWS | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / D- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.34 vs actual lineup 3.39
- Player execution +0.61 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.39 projection by 0.61 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.66 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Giménez HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.14 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.57 vs actual lineup 3.44
- Player execution +1.56 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.44 projection by 1.56 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Vargas 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 3.6 — actual was 4 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.