New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Francisco Lindor SS
- 2 Juan Soto LF
- 3 Bo Bichette 3B
- 4 Luis Robert CF
- 5 Jared Young 1B
- 6 Mark Vientos DH
- 7 Marcus Semien 2B
- 8 Carson Benge RF
- 9 Luis Torrens C
- 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
- 2 Iván Herrera C
- 3 Alec Burleson 1B
- 4 Masyn Winn SS
- 5 Nolan Gorman DH
- 6 Jordan Walker RF
- 7 Nathan Church LF
- 8 Ramón Urías 3B
- 9 Victor Scott CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| STL | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.92 vs actual lineup 3.95
- Player execution −3.95 R/G Players fell 3.95 short of the lineup's 3.95 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −3.92 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lindor 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.82 vs actual lineup 4.78
- Player execution −1.78 R/G Players fell 1.78 short of the lineup's 4.78 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.82 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Urías HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.9 – 4.8 — actual was 0 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.