New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Francisco Lindor SS
- 2 Juan Soto LF
- 3 Bo Bichette 3B
- 4 Jorge Polanco DH
- 5 Brett Baty RF
- 6 Jared Young 1B
- 7 Marcus Semien 2B
- 8 Carson Benge CF
- 9 Francisco Alvarez C
- 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
- 2 Iván Herrera DH
- 3 Alec Burleson 1B
- 4 Masyn Winn SS
- 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
- 6 Jordan Walker RF
- 7 Nathan Church LF
- 8 Pedro Pagés C
- 9 Victor Scott CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| STL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.12 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.91 vs actual lineup 5.04
- Player execution −1.04 R/G Players fell 1.04 short of the lineup's 5.04 projection (scored 4)
- Game variance −0.91 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Benge 2-for-4 from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.43 vs actual lineup 2.44
- Player execution −0.44 R/G Players fell 0.44 short of the lineup's 2.44 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wetherholt 0-for-3 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 2.4 — actual was 4 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.