New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Cody Bellinger LF
- 4 Ben Rice 1B
- 5 Giancarlo Stanton DH
- 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 7 José Caballero SS
- 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
- 9 Austin Wells C
- 1 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 2 Matt Chapman 3B
- 3 Luis Arraez 2B
- 4 Rafael Devers DH
- 5 Heliot Ramos LF
- 6 Willy Adames SS
- 7 Harrison Bader CF
- 8 Patrick Bailey C
- 9 Casey Schmitt 1B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 5.04 vs actual lineup 5.09
- Player execution −2.09 R/G Players fell 2.09 short of the lineup's 5.09 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −2.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.77 vs actual lineup 2.69
- Player execution −1.69 R/G Players fell 1.69 short of the lineup's 2.69 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.77 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 5.0 – 2.8 — actual was 3 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.