New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Cody Bellinger CF
- 4 Giancarlo Stanton DH
- 5 Amed Rosario 3B
- 6 Jazz Chisholm 2B
- 7 José Caballero SS
- 8 Randal Grichuk LF
- 9 Austin Wells C
- 1 Luis Arraez 2B
- 2 Matt Chapman 3B
- 3 Rafael Devers DH
- 4 Willy Adames SS
- 5 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 6 Heliot Ramos LF
- 7 Casey Schmitt 1B
- 8 Patrick Bailey C
- 9 Harrison Bader CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.32 vs actual lineup 3.38
- Player execution −0.38 R/G Players fell 0.38 short of the lineup's 3.38 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.32 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Caballero 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.40 vs actual lineup 2.38
- Player execution −2.38 R/G Players fell 2.38 short of the lineup's 2.38 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.40 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Arraez 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.3 – 2.4 — actual was 3 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.