Texas Rangers vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Brandon Nimmo RF
- 2 Wyatt Langford CF
- 3 Corey Seager SS
- 4 Jake Burger 1B
- 5 Andrew McCutchen DH
- 6 Josh Jung 3B
- 7 Josh Smith 2B
- 8 Danny Jansen C
- 9 Sam Haggerty LF
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Bryson Stott 2B
- 6 Adolis García RF
- 7 Brandon Marsh LF
- 8 J.T. Realmuto C
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| PHI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.16 vs actual lineup 3.13
- Player execution −0.13 R/G Players fell 0.13 short of the lineup's 3.13 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.16 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Nimmo 0-for-3 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.45 vs actual lineup 4.54
- Player execution +0.46 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.54 projection by 0.46 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.55 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Harper 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.2 – 4.5 — actual was 3 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.