New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Cody Bellinger LF
- 4 Ben Rice 1B
- 5 Giancarlo Stanton DH
- 6 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 7 José Caballero SS
- 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
- 9 Austin Wells C
- 1 Luis Arraez 2B
- 2 Matt Chapman 3B
- 3 Rafael Devers DH
- 4 Willy Adames SS
- 5 Jung Hoo Lee RF
- 6 Heliot Ramos LF
- 7 Casey Schmitt 1B
- 8 Patrick Bailey C
- 9 Harrison Bader CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.58 vs actual lineup 4.61
- Player execution +2.39 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.61 projection by 2.39 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.42 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Judge 0-for-5 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.74 vs actual lineup 2.72
- Player execution −2.72 R/G Players fell 2.72 short of the lineup's 2.72 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.74 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Chapman 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.6 – 2.7 — actual was 7 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.